Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 477 
 WTPA45 PHFO 022033
 TCDCP5
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER  30
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP142016
 1100 AM HST FRI SEP 02 2016
 
 The only thing left of Madeline in the morning visible satellite
 images is a low level cloud swirl with separated, disorganized deep
 convection east and south of the center. The initial position
 was adjusted slightly north from the previous track based on the
 clearly visible position in the images. Subjective Dvorak intensity
 estimates were 2.0/30 kt from CPHC and 1.5/25 kt from JTWC. Given
 the poor appearance of Madeline in the satellite images, the initial
 intensity will be lowered to 25 kt for this advisory.
 
 Despite the warm sea surface temperatures, Madeline has not been
 able to overcome the moderate to strong vertical wind shear
 combined with the dry mid-level conditions to its west. These
 conditions are not expected to change much in the next day or so
 which makes restrengthening unlikely. Thus, Madeline is expected to
 become a post-tropical remnant low within the next 12- to 24-hours
 then dissipate in about 48-hours.
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  02/2100Z 16.5N 163.9W   25 KT  30 MPH
  12H  03/0600Z 16.5N 166.0W   25 KT  30 MPH
  24H  03/1800Z 16.6N 168.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  04/0600Z 16.7N 171.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 Forecaster Kodama
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for MADELINE

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman