191
WTPZ22 KNHC 201434
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122014
1500 UTC WED AUG 20 2014
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 121.2W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 360SE 200SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 121.2W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 121.1W
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.5N 121.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.2N 122.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.1N 123.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 26.0N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 27.0N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 121.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
192
WTPZ21 KNHC 201434
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014
1500 UTC WED AUG 20 2014
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.6W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.6W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.5W
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.8N 136.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.2N 136.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.2N 135.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 20.5N 129.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 26.5N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 136.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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