011 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 100235
 TCMEP3
 TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
 0300 UTC WED SEP 10 2008
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
 THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD TO CABO
 SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED WEDNESDAY
 MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA.
  
 INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
 LOWELL.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 113.1W AT 10/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   5 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  75SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 113.1W AT 10/0300Z
 AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 113.2W
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.2N 112.6W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 45NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 23.3N 111.8W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.4N 110.9W...INLAND OVER SRN BAJA
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
 FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.9N 110.2W...OVER GULF OF CALIFORNIA
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.3N 109.9W...INLAND SWRN MEXICO
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 113.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER STEWART