Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 624 
 WTPZ42 KNHC 070234
 TCDEP2
  
 TROPICAL STORM LORENA DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122013
 800 PM PDT FRI SEP 06 2013
  
 SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR DATA FROM CABO SAN LUCAS INDICATE THAT
 LORENA HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED THIS EVENING. THE
 LOW-LEVEL CENTER APPEARS MORE ELONGATED...AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS
 BEEN DIMINISHING AND IS NOW LIMITED TO THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF
 THE CIRCULATION. THE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS HAVE DECREASED...AND
 THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS NUDGED DOWNWARD TO 35 KT. CONTINUED
 WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE
 CYCLONE MOVES OVER COOLER WATER AND INTO A MORE STABLE AIRMASS. THE
 NHC INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR LORENA TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION
 IN ABOUT 12 HOURS AND TO DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW IN 24 TO 36
 HOURS. THIS FORECAST GENERALLY FOLLOWS THE TREND SEEN IN THE GFS
 AND ECMWF GLOBAL MODELS.
  
 THE STORM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 9 KT ON THE SOUTHWEST
 SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED
 STATES. LORENA IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN WHILE IT WEAKENS...AND ITS
 REMNANT LOW WILL LIKELY BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY CLOSE TO THE
 SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA COAST BY SUNDAY.
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  07/0300Z 23.2N 111.0W   35 KT  40 MPH
  12H  07/1200Z 23.6N 111.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
  24H  08/0000Z 24.0N 112.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
  36H  08/1200Z 24.3N 112.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  09/0000Z 24.5N 112.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN
  
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for LORENA

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman