510 
 WTNT23 KNHC 291435
 TCMAT3
 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132004
 1500Z WED SEP 29 2004
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  45.8W AT 29/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
 50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT.......175NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  45.8W AT 29/1500Z
 AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  45.8W
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 31.1N  46.2W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT...175NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 33.0N  47.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 34 KT...125NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 35.0N  48.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 34 KT...125NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.5N  48.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 34 KT...125NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 40.5N  44.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 34 KT...125NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 44.0N  37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 45.0N  26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N  45.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
  
 $$