546
WTPZ25 KNHC 071439
TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152009
1500 UTC MON SEP 07 2009
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 126.3W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 126.3W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 126.1W
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.6N 127.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.0N 128.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.3N 129.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.8N 130.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.8N 131.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 21.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.5N 134.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 126.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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