645 
 WTPZ43 KNHC 302035
 TCDEP3
 
 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER  25
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
 200 PM PDT TUE AUG 30 2016
 
 The weakening trend of Lester appears to have stopped for the time
 being.  Satellite images show a well-defined 15 n mi diameter eye
 surrounded by a solid ring of deep convection.  The Dvorak
 classifications from TAFB and SAB were both 5.5/102 kt and automated
 values from CIMSS at the University of Wisconsin are 5.9/112 kt.
 Based on these data, the initial wind speed is held at 105 kt for
 this advisory. The environment ahead of Lester is not hostile, but
 slightly lower sea-surface temperatures and drier air along its
 track should cause the hurricane to gradually weaken through the
 forecast period. The NHC intensity forecast follows the trend of the
 previous one and stays near the intensity model consensus.
 
 The major hurricane is now moving a little south of due west at
 12 kt. A strong mid-level ridge over the east-central subtropical
 Pacific should continue to steer Lester westward for the next couple
 of days.  After that time, a slight turn to the west-northwest is
 predicted, due to possible binary interaction with Madeline, when
 Lester moves near or just north of the Hawaiian Islands in 3-5
 days. The NHC track forecast is a little to the south of the
 previous one and lies near the middle of the guidance envelope.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  30/2100Z 17.8N 135.6W  105 KT 120 MPH
  12H  31/0600Z 17.8N 137.2W  100 KT 115 MPH
  24H  31/1800Z 17.9N 139.4W   95 KT 110 MPH
  36H  01/0600Z 18.1N 141.5W   85 KT 100 MPH
  48H  01/1800Z 18.5N 143.8W   80 KT  90 MPH
  72H  02/1800Z 19.9N 148.4W   75 KT  85 MPH
  96H  03/1800Z 21.5N 153.4W   65 KT  75 MPH
 120H  04/1800Z 23.3N 158.3W   60 KT  70 MPH
 
 $$
 Forecaster Cangialosi