099 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 150851
 TCMEP3
 TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132006
 0900 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006
  
 AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE
 TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH WITH A HURRICANE WARNING
 FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
 CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
 TO COMPLETION.
  
 AT 200 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
 WARNING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO NORTHWARD
 TO LA CRUZ.  AT 200 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CANCELED
 THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM
 PUNTA SAN TELMO SOUTHWARD TO LAZARO CARDENAS.  A TROPICAL STORM
 WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LA CRUZ. A
 TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
  
 AT 200 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
 WATCH ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ TO ALTATA. A
 TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF
 MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
 THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
 AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
 BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BUENA VISTA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST AND
 FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 106.0W AT 15/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
 50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT....... 60NE  75SE  90SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 120SE 120SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 106.0W AT 15/0900Z
 AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 105.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.4N 106.8W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.9N 107.8W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 23.2N 108.9W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.5N 109.4W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 25.5N 109.5W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 27.0N 109.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 28.0N 109.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 106.0W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB