799
FOPZ12 KNHC 060236
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006
0300 UTC WED SEP 06 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 174N 1255W 34 68 6(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
12 174N 1255W 50 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
12 174N 1255W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 178N 1275W 34 4 47(51) 8(59) X(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60)
24 178N 1275W 50 X 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
24 178N 1275W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 180N 1293W 34 X 14(14) 24(38) 7(45) 3(48) X(48) X(48)
36 180N 1293W 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
36 180N 1293W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 180N 1307W 34 X 3( 3) 15(18) 13(31) 7(38) 1(39) X(39)
48 180N 1307W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
48 180N 1307W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 180N 1335W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15(21) 5(26) 1(27)
72 180N 1335W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
72 180N 1335W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 185N 1365W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 2(15)
96 185N 1365W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
96 185N 1365W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 190N 1395W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
120 190N 1395W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 190N 1395W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 45 45 45 40 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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