561 
 WTPZ42 KNHC 050826
 TCDEP2
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006
 200 AM PDT TUE SEP 05 2006
  
 THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY CHANGES IN THE STRUCTURE OF TENACIOUS KRISTY.
 THE CYCLONE CONSISTS OF A TIGHT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND
 INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 
 AT 30 KNOTS AND A GRADUAL SPIN DOWN IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE
 MOVES TOWARD A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT.  
 
 THE CYCLONE IS MOVING WESTWARD A LITTLE FASTER...270/6 AND IT IS
 LOCATED SOUTH OF A DEVELOPING RIDGE. THEREFORE...A GENERAL WESTWARD
 TRACK WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD CONTINUE
 UNTIL DISSIPATION. 
 
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      05/0900Z 16.2N 120.5W    30 KT
  12HR VT     05/1800Z 16.2N 121.5W    30 KT
  24HR VT     06/0600Z 16.5N 123.0W    25 KT
  36HR VT     06/1800Z 16.5N 125.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
  48HR VT     07/0600Z 17.0N 127.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  72HR VT     08/0600Z 17.0N 130.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  96HR VT     09/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA