311 
 FOPZ12 KNHC 040230
 PWSEP2
 TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21           
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
 0300 UTC MON SEP 04 2006                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR       
 LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
 WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
     IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
 LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
  
 ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                   GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
  
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
  HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                     
  12 178N 1187W 34 50  11(61)   1(62)   1(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
  12 178N 1187W 50  3   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  12 178N 1187W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  
  24 178N 1194W 34 15   9(24)   4(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
  24 178N 1194W 50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  24 178N 1194W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  
  36 180N 1207W 34  1   6( 7)   8(15)   2(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
  36 180N 1207W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  36 180N 1207W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  
  48 184N 1228W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)
  48 184N 1228W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  48 184N 1228W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  
  72 190N 1270W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
  72 190N 1270W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  72 190N 1270W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
                - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
 FCST MAX WIND     35     30      30      25      20       0       0
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
  
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER SISKO/PASCH