520
WTPZ23 KNHC 200234
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132011
0300 UTC SUN NOV 20 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 102.1W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 102.1W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 101.5W
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 10.7N 103.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 11.3N 105.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 11.7N 108.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.9N 110.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 12.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 85NE 70SE 70SW 85NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 12.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 13.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 102.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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