069 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 241446
 TCMEP1
 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112005
 1500Z SAT SEP 24 2005
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 138.3W AT 24/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   3 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT....... 85NE  70SE  70SW  85NW.
 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 138.3W AT 24/1500Z
 AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 138.1W
  
 FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.1N 138.9W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.0N 139.7W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.7N 140.5W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.7N 141.3W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.2N 142.3W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 17.3N 143.3W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 18.5N 145.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 138.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER STEWART
  
  
 $$