265 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 220842
 TCMEP1
 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112005
 0900Z THU SEP 22 2005
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 135.0W AT 22/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
 50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT....... 80NE  80SE 100SW  80NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 135.0W AT 22/0900Z
 AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 134.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.3N 135.4W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.5N 136.2W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.7N 136.8W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.8N 137.4W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.0N 138.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 16.0N 139.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 16.0N 140.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 135.0W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
  
 FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
  
  
 $$