141 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 182039
 TCMEP1
 HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112005
 2100Z SUN SEP 18 2005
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 129.8W AT 18/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   5 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
 64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 200SW 225NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 129.8W AT 18/2100Z
 AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 129.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.4N 130.6W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.7N 131.4W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.0N 132.2W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.3N 132.9W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.0N 134.2W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 17.0N 136.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 18.0N 138.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 129.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
  
 FORECASTER SISKO/KNABB
  
  
 $$