299 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 152038
 TCMEP1
 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112005
 2100Z THU SEP 15 2005
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 120.7W AT 15/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   5 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
 50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 120.7W AT 15/2100Z
 AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 120.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.1N 121.4W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.3N 122.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.6N 123.7W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.9N 125.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.5N 127.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 15.0N 129.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 15.5N 131.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 120.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
  
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
  
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