486 
 WTNT22 KNHC 091433
 TCMAT2
  
 HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122011
 1500 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N  65.8W AT 09/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  25 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
 64 KT....... 40NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
 50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT.......200NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.
 12 FT SEAS..480NE 420SE 300SW 420NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N  65.8W AT 09/1500Z
 AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  67.1W
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 41.1N  60.4W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...200NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 44.1N  49.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...200NE 220SE 220SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 47.8N  37.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE 240SE 240SW  60NW.
 34 KT...180NE 390SE 390SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 51.5N  26.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT...120NE 210SE 210SW  60NW.
 34 KT...180NE 420SE 420SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 58.5N   7.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE 180SE 180SW  90NW.
 34 KT...150NE 360SE 420SW 150NW.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...EAST OF ZERO DEGREES LONGITUDE
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N  65.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER STEWART
  
  
 
 
 827 
 WTNT25 KNHC 091433
 TCMAT5
  
 TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152011
 1500 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM TAMPICO
 TO VERACRUZ.
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
 TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ AND FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO
 * MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO
 * MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
 BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
 WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
 DANGEROUS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  92.6W AT 09/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   3 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
 50 KT....... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT....... 60NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  90SE 120SW  90NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  92.6W AT 09/1500Z
 AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  92.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.6N  93.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  15SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.8N  93.8W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.9N  94.8W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.8N  95.9W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 20.5N  98.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.0N 101.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N  92.6W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN