632 
 WTNT42 KNHC 242041
 TCDAT2
 HURRICANE KARL DISCUSSION NUMBER  33
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 5 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004
  
 THERE ARE JUST SOME VERY SMALL SLIVERS OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING
 NEAR THE CENTER.  DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NEAR OR JUST UNDER
 65 KT AND THE 18Z WIND SPEED IS SET AT 65 KNOTS.  KARL IS NOW OVER
 WATER LESS THAN 20 DEGREES C AND CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED.
 KARL IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
  
 THE INITIAL MOTION IS 360/26.  KARL IS EXPECTED TO TURN
 NORTHEASTWARD TO EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS AND MERGE WITH
 ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW.  THE GLOBAL TRACK MODELS ARE IN
 EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ABOUT THIS.
  
 THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
 ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
 FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
 HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
  
 FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      24/2100Z 47.3N  40.4W    65 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
  12HR VT     25/0600Z 51.0N  38.4W    55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
  24HR VT     25/1800Z 56.0N  32.2W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
  36HR VT     26/0600Z 60.5N  21.0W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
  48HR VT     26/1800Z 64.0N   6.0W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
  72HR VT     27/1800Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
  
  
 $$