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 162 
 WTNT22 KNHC 172027
 TCMAT2
 TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
 2100Z FRI SEP 17 2004
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  36.4W AT 17/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  12 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
 50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT....... 50NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  36.4W AT 17/2100Z
 AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  36.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.4N  37.6W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT... 50NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.3N  39.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.3N  40.4W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.2N  41.8W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.5N  44.5W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 23.5N  46.0W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 29.5N  46.0W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  36.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
  
 FORECASTER FRANKLIN
  
  
 $$
 
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