248 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 182032
 TCMEP1
 
 TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
 2100 UTC MON AUG 18 2014
 
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 133.0W AT 18/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
 34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 12 FT SEAS..105NE   0SE  30SW 105NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 133.0W AT 18/2100Z
 AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 132.7W
 
 FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.1N 134.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.1N 135.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.1N 136.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.2N 136.4W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 70NE  30SE  40SW  70NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.3N 136.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 70NE  30SE  40SW  70NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 16.3N 136.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 16.8N 136.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 133.0W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA