376 
 WTNT22 KNHC 050235
 TCMAT2
  
 TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122013
 0300 UTC SAT OCT 05 2013
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
 * LAKE MAUREPAS
 * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
 * EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF
 MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KAREN.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  90.5W AT 05/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT.......120NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  30SW 120NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  90.5W AT 05/0300Z
 AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  90.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.1N  90.6W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.1N  90.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...100NE  90SE  20SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.0N  88.7W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.5N  86.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 34.5N  80.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z...ABSORBED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N  90.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA