034 
 WTPZ45 KNHC 292047
 TCDEP5
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102013
 200 PM PDT THU AUG 29 2013
  
 THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH JULIETTE HAS CONTINUED
 TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON.  BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF 
 THE LATEST SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB...THE
 INITIAL WIND SPEED IS LOWERED TO 30 KT.  THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPIN DOWN AS IT MOVES OVER COLDER WATERS WEST 
 OF THE BAJA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THE CYCLONE 
 SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY.
  
 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT JULIETTE HAS DECELERATED AS
 ANTICIPATED...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/14 KT.  THE
 CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TONIGHT OR EARLY
 FRIDAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED.  THE MODELS
 REMAIN IN AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO AND THE NEW NHC FORECAST IS
 SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
   
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  29/2100Z 26.1N 113.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  30/0600Z 27.2N 115.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  30/1800Z 28.2N 118.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  31/0600Z 28.8N 120.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  31/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BROWN