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 856 
 WTNT22 KNHC 171432
 TCMAT2
 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
 1500 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  46.7W AT 17/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
 64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
 50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 34 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 12 FT SEAS..420NE 270SE 240SW 300NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  46.7W AT 17/1500Z
 AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N  45.8W
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.8N  48.8W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 28.3N  51.1W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  45NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 30.9N  52.1W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  45NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.2N  51.7W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 36.4N  48.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N  44.0W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N  46.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH
  
  
 
 
 857 
 WTNT21 KNHC 171432
 TCMAT1
 HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112010
 1500 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BERMUDA
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
 BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
 WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
 DANGEROUS.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  60.1W AT 17/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
 64 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 50 KT.......130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 34 KT.......250NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
 12 FT SEAS..660NE 420SE 420SW 740NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  60.1W AT 17/1500Z
 AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  59.8W
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 24.0N  61.5W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 64 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 50 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 34 KT...250NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 25.4N  63.2W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 64 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 50 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 34 KT...250NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 27.0N  64.5W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 64 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 50 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 34 KT...250NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 28.8N  65.1W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 50 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
 34 KT...250NE 220SE 190SW 240NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.0N  63.5W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 50 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
 34 KT...280NE 280SE 240SW 240NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 41.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 51.0N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N  60.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
  
  
 
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