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 047 
 WTNT22 KNHC 152043
 TCMAT2
 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
 2100 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  33.5W AT 15/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  15 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
 64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
 50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
 34 KT.......110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 270NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  33.5W AT 15/2100Z
 AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  33.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.6N  35.5W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  55NW.
 34 KT...125NE  95SE  80SW 110NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.6N  38.9W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  55SE  45SW  60NW.
 34 KT...135NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.3N  42.4W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  55SE  45SW  60NW.
 34 KT...135NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.0N  45.5W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 50 KT... 70NE  55SE  45SW  60NW.
 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.0N  49.6W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 70NE  55SE  45SW  60NW.
 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 34.0N  49.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 36.0N  45.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  33.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BROWN
  
  
 
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