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 530 
 WTNT22 KNHC 150531
 TCMAT2
 HURRICANE JULIA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
 0530 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  31.3W AT 15/0530Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
 64 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 35NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
 34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  90SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  31.3W AT 15/0530Z
 AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  30.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.8N  32.1W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
 34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.4N  34.2W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 34 KT...135NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.0N  37.3W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...135NE 105SE  75SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.4N  40.8W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT...135NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.0N  47.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT...135NE 105SE  90SW 120NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.0N  51.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 33.0N  51.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N  31.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH
  
  
 
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