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 359 
 WTNT22 KNHC 131442
 TCMAT2
 TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
 1500 UTC MON SEP 13 2010
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO TIAGO...
 FOGO...AND BRAVA
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  26.1W AT 13/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  26.1W AT 13/1500Z
 AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  25.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.6N  27.6W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.7N  29.6W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.1N  31.4W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.6N  33.2W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT...110NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.8N  37.7W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 25.5N  43.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.5N  47.5W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N  26.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN
  
  
 
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