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 207 
 WTNT22 KNHC 130832
 TCMAT2
 TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
 0900 UTC MON SEP 13 2010
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO TIAGO...
 FOGO...AND BRAVA
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  24.6W AT 13/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  24.6W AT 13/0900Z
 AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  24.1W
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.1N  26.2W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.2N  28.2W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.5N  30.1W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.0N  31.9W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT...110NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 22.5N  36.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 25.5N  41.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.5N  46.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  24.6W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH
  
  
 
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