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 124 
 WTNT25 KNHC 151431
 TCMAT5
 
 TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102018
 1500 UTC SAT SEP 15 2018
 
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  41.0W AT 15/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  41.0W AT 15/1500Z
 AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  41.7W
 
 FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.9N  39.2W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 34.0N  35.9W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.5N  32.2W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.0N  29.0W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
 FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 32.0N  25.5W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N  41.0W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
 
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