805
WTPZ22 KNHC 120233 CCA
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122017
0300 UTC SAT AUG 12 2017
CORRECTED FOR INITIAL 34 KT WIND AND 12 FT SEAS RADII
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 109.8W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 109.8W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 109.2W
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 19.7N 111.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.9N 113.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 20.1N 116.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 20.3N 118.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.5N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 109.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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