791 
 WTNT41 KNHC 230831
 TCDAT1
 TROPICAL STORM JOSE DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 5 AM EDT TUE AUG 23 2005
  
 DATA FROM THE RADAR AT ALVARADO MEXICO INDICATED THAT JOSE BECAME
 BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE LAST TWO HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL...WITH AN
 EYE FORMING.  JUST HOW STRONG THE STORM GOT BEFORE LANDFALL IS
 UNKNOWN...AS AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE THE EYE STARTED TO FORM TRMM
 DATA SHOWED THE CENTER WAS PARTLY EXPOSED AND AIRCRAFT DATA SHOWED
 JOSE WELL SHORT OF HURRICANE STRENGTH.  SINCE LANDFALL...BOTH THE
 SATELLITE AND RADAR SIGNATURES HAVE WEAKENED...AND JOSE SHOULD
 CONTINUE TO WEAKEN UNTIL IT DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF
 EASTERN MEXICO IN 24-36 HR.
 
 THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/8.  JOSE IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A
 MID-LEVEL RIDGE...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL
 DISSIPATION.
 
 THE RAINFALL THREAT WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER DAY OR TWO AS
 JOSE OR ITS REMNANTS TRAVERSE MEXICO.  THE COASTAL WARNING WILL
 LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED AT 7 AM.
  
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      23/0900Z 19.8N  97.1W    35 KT
  12HR VT     23/1800Z 19.9N  98.3W    25 KT...INLAND
  24HR VT     24/0600Z 20.1N  99.8W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
  36HR VT     24/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
  
 $$