096 
 WTNT21 KNHC 050231
 TCMAT1
  
 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
 0300 UTC MON OCT 05 2015
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BERMUDA
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N  65.5W AT 05/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
 64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
 34 KT.......160NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
 12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 300SW 540NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N  65.5W AT 05/0300Z
 AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  65.8W
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 34.5N  64.7W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.2N  63.1W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 37.8N  59.8W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  40NW.
 34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.5N  54.2W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
 34 KT...160NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 42.5N  38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 80NE 120SE 120SW  70NW.
 34 KT...150NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 45.0N  23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 47.0N  16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N  65.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH