194 
 WTNT21 KNHC 022054
 TCMAT1
 
 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
 2100 UTC FRI OCT 02 2015
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
 BERMUDA.
 
 THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
 FOR CUBA.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ABACOS...BERRY ISLANDS...
 ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE
 * THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...AND MAYAGUANA IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
 BAHAMAS
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BIMINI
 * ANDROS ISLAND
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND
 CAICOS ISLANDS
 * ANDROS ISLAND
 
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  74.7W AT 02/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
 64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
 50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 34 KT.......140NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
 12 FT SEAS..480NE 180SE  90SW 390NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  74.7W AT 02/2100Z
 AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  74.8W
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.1N  73.9W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 64 KT... 45NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
 50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 26.9N  72.1W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
 50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
 34 KT...160NE 180SE 160SW 120NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 29.2N  70.0W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 64 KT... 45NE  50SE  45SW  40NW.
 50 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
 34 KT...180NE 200SE 170SW 150NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 31.7N  68.7W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE 100SE  90SW  70NW.
 34 KT...200NE 200SE 170SW 180NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 36.5N  67.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 34 KT...220NE 180SE 160SW 220NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 40.5N  60.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 45.0N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N  74.7W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN