012 
 WTNT21 KNHC 012044
 TCMAT1
 
 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
 2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2015
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 NONE.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ABACOS...BERRY ISLANDS...
 ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE
 * THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...AND MAYAGUANA IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
 BAHAMAS
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BIMINI
 * ANDROS ISLAND
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND
 CAICOS ISLANDS
 * ANDROS ISLAND
 
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
 PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  74.4W AT 01/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
 64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT.......100NE 150SE 100SW  80NW.
 12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 150SW 210NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  74.4W AT 01/2100Z
 AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  74.2W
 
 FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.2N  74.7W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT...120NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.4N  74.7W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.9N  74.1W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.4N  73.3W
 MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 34 KT...180NE 190SE 120SW 140NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 33.0N  72.5W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 34 KT...230NE 190SE 100SW 150NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 37.0N  72.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 41.0N  69.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N  74.4W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN