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 475 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 071432
 TCMEP1
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
 1500 UTC SUN AUG 07 2016
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 NONE.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ
 SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
 THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 105.0W AT 07/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 105.0W AT 07/1500Z
 AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 104.6W
 
 FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.5N 106.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.7N 108.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.7N 109.1W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.8N 110.2W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.2N 112.1W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 27.5N 113.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 105.0W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
 
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