951
WTPZ22 KNHC 212035
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007
2100 UTC FRI SEP 21 2007
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF IVO.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 113.4W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 113.4W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 113.5W
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.8N 113.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.6N 112.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.3N 112.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.0N 112.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 25.0N 111.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 26.0N 110.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 113.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
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