877 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 210235
 TCMEP2
 HURRICANE IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007
 0300 UTC FRI SEP 21 2007
  
 INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
 OF IVO.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 113.4W AT 21/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   8 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
 64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT....... 60NE  30SE  10SW  25NW.
 34 KT....... 75NE  65SE  30SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 113.4W AT 21/0300Z
 AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 113.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.7N 113.5W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  30SE  10SW  25NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  65SE  30SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.6N 113.1W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.3N 112.8W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.0N 112.5W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.5N 112.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 25.0N 111.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 26.5N 111.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 113.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BLAKE