336 
 WTNT24 KNHC 052035
 TCMAT4
 HURRICANE IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092004
 2100Z SUN SEP 05 2004
  
 AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
 HURRICANE WATCH FOR BARBADOS.  INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER
 ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IVAN.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  47.7W AT 05/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  18 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
 64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT.......110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  47.7W AT 05/2100Z
 AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N  46.8W
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 11.0N  50.4W
 MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 11.9N  54.0W
 MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.8N  57.5W
 MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 13.6N  61.0W
 MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 15.5N  66.5W
 MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N  71.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N  76.0W...OVER WATER
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N  47.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
  
 FORECASTER PASCH
   
 $$