927
WTPZ24 KNHC 030851
TCMEP4
HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092014
0900 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 131.8W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 131.8W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 131.4W
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.4N 133.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.6N 135.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.7N 137.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.7N 138.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.0N 142.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 17.3N 147.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 19.0N 154.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 131.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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