Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 604 
 WTNT21 KNHC 072032
 TCMAT1
 
 HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112017
 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
 CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS
 AND VILLA CLARA. THIS INCLUDES THE CUBAN KEYS ALONG THE NORTH
 SHORE OF THESE PROVINCES.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
 BEACH
 * FLORIDA KEYS
 
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH
 HAITI
 * HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE
 MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
 * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS
 AND VILLA CLARA.
 * CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
 BEACH
 * FLORIDA KEYS
 * LAKE OKEECHOBEE
 * FLORIDA BAY
 * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS AND
 MATANZAS.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE
 SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
 * HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE
 * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS.
 
 A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
 THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
 COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
 SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
 HURRICANES.GOV.
 
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
 PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
 BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
 WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
 DANGEROUS.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI... AS WELL
 AS
 CUBA AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.
 
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  71.1W AT 07/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  922 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT.
 64 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 50 KT.......100NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 34 KT.......160NE 120SE  80SW 150NW.
 12 FT SEAS..540NE 210SE  60SW 420NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  71.1W AT 07/2100Z
 AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  70.4W
 
 FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.6N  73.1W
 MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 50 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 34 KT...170NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.2N  75.5W
 MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
 50 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.7N  77.6W
 MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
 64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.4N  79.3W
 MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
 50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.2N  80.7W
 MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 160NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 31.5N  82.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 36.0N  84.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N  71.1W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for IRMA

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman