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 187 
 WTNT41 KNHC 180235
 TCDAT1
  
 Tropical Storm Iota Discussion Number  19
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL312020
 900 PM CST Tue Nov 17 2020
  
 Most of the deep convection associated with Iota has weakened
 during the past several hours, with the primary remaining
 convection now in a band well removed from the center in the
 northwestern semicircle.  The initial intensity is reduced to 35
 kt, and these winds are possibly occuring in two areas - a small
 area near what is left of the inner core and along the coast of
 Honduras in the Tropical Storm warning area.  Iota should continue
 to quickly weaken, with the system expected to drop below
 tropical-storm strength during the next few hours and to dissipate
 completely between 12-24 h.  At this time, the available guidance
 is not bullish on any regeneration of the system over the Pacific.
  
 The initial motion is 270/10.  The cyclone or its remnants should
 move westward to west-southwestward before dissipation occurs.
  
 Iota is still expected to produce very serious hazards while it is
 over central America, including flash flooding and mud slides,
 These hazards could result in potentially catastrophic effects,
 especially when compounded upon Hurricane Eta's destruction from a
 couple of weeks ago.
  
 Key Messages:
  
 1.  Life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding is expected
 through Thursday across portions of Central America due to heavy
 rainfall from Iota. Flooding and mudslides across portions of
 Honduras, Nicaragua and Guatemala could be exacerbated by saturated
 soils in place, resulting in significant to potentially catastrophic
 impacts.
  
 2.  Tropical-storm conditions, primarily close to the center of
 Iota and along the coast of Honduras, are still expected for the
 next few hours.
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  18/0300Z 13.7N  87.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
  12H  18/1200Z 13.4N  88.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
  24H  19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 Forecaster Beven
  
 
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