163 
 WTNT45 KNHC 252035
 TCDAT5
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  30
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102015
 500 PM AST FRI SEP 25 2015
 
 Not much has changed today and resilient Ida is still there. It
 consists of a tight swirl of low clouds with a curved convective
 band to the east of the center.  The initial intensity is estimated
 at 25 kt. The overall circulation is expected to decay as the
 depression continues to move within an environment of high shear and
 dry air. The depression is expected to degenerate into a remnant low
 in about 24 hours or sooner.
 
 The center has been moving toward the northwest at about 5 kt. A
 high pressure system is forecast to develop over the North Atlantic,
 and this high will force the shallow depression, or its remnants, to
 move toward the northwest, and then, as the high to the north
 intensifies, a sharp turn to the west or southwest should occur
 Sunday night or Monday.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  25/2100Z 22.5N  45.5W   25 KT  30 MPH
  12H  26/0600Z 23.5N  46.0W   25 KT  30 MPH
  24H  26/1800Z 24.5N  47.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  27/0600Z 25.0N  47.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  27/1800Z 24.6N  48.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  28/1800Z 23.5N  51.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  96H  29/1800Z 22.6N  54.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 120H  30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Avila