829 
 WTNT21 KNHC 080845
 TCMAT1
 HURRICANE IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112009
 0900 UTC SUN NOV 08 2009
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
 MEXICO FROM PLAYA DEL CARMEN TO CABO CATOCHE.  A HURRICANE WARNING
 MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
 WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
 PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
 MEXICO FROM TULUM TO PLAYA DEL CARMEN.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
 HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
 OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO SAN FELIPE.  A TROPICAL
 STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
 PINAR DEL RIO.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  85.6W AT 08/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
 64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
 50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
 34 KT.......120NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  85.6W AT 08/0900Z
 AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  85.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.8N  86.7W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT...135NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.0N  87.8W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 34 KT...150NE  90SE  75SW 125NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.7N  88.5W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...150NE 105SE  75SW 115NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 28.5N  88.2W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT...150NE 105SE  60SW 145NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 29.8N  86.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 28.0N  84.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N  85.6W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN/KIMBERLAIN