669 
 WTNT21 KNHC 080246
 TCMAT1
 TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112009
 0300 UTC SUN NOV 08 2009
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
 MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
 HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
 WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
 OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO SAN FELIPE.  A TROPICAL
 STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
 PINAR DEL RIO.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  84.6W AT 08/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
 50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT.......120NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  84.6W AT 08/0300Z
 AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  84.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.2N  85.3W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
 34 KT...135NE  75SE  40SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.0N  86.5W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
 34 KT...150NE  75SE  40SW 125NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.4N  87.6W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
 34 KT...150NE  75SE  40SW 125NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 27.7N  87.9W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 34 KT...175NE 105SE  45SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.0N  86.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW 105NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 29.0N  85.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N  84.6W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN