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 671 
 WTNT44 KNHC 132032
 TCDAT4
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092007
 500 PM EDT THU SEP 13 2007
  
 SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND DOPPLER VELOCITIES FROM THE LAKE CHARLES
 AND FORT POLK WSR-88D RADARS SHOW THAT HUMBERTO HAS WEAKENED TO A
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA.  THE CYCLONE IS
 ENCOUNTERING INCREASING WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...WHICH WILL
 LIKELY LEAD TO THE SYSTEM SHEARING APART DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HR. 
 THUS...CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES
 IN ABOUT 48 HR.  
 
 THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 040/10.  ALL GUIDANCE FORECASTS A GRADUAL
 TURN TOWARD THE EAST DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HR...AND THE FORECAST
 TRACK FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO.  IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT MUCH OF THE
 GUIDANCE FORECASTS THE REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO TO TURN SOUTH AND
 SOUTHWESTWARD AFTER 36 HR...POSSIBLY RE-EMERGING INTO THE GULF OF
 MEXICO.  WHILE THIS IS POSSIBLE...IT IS LIKELY THE REMNANTS WILL BE
 TOO WEAK TO RE-GENERATE.
 
 THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON HUMBERTO BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
 CENTER.  FUTURE PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
 HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      13/2100Z 31.4N  92.6W    30 KT
  12HR VT     14/0600Z 32.3N  91.0W    25 KT...INLAND
  24HR VT     14/1800Z 32.9N  88.6W    20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW
  36HR VT     15/0600Z 32.9N  86.4W    20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW
  48HR VT     15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
 
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