030 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 040236
 TCMEP1
 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112004
 0300Z SAT SEP 04 2004
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 116.6W AT 04/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
 64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
 50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT.......120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 12 FT SEAS..225NE 125SE 125SW 225NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 116.6W AT 04/0300Z
 AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 116.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.4N 117.3W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.8N 118.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.0N 118.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 27.0N 119.0W...DISSIPATING
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.5N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 27.8N 121.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 28.0N 122.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 116.6W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
  
 FORECASTER LAWRENCE/HOLWEG
  
  
 $$