378 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 011424
 TCMEP1
 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112004
 1500Z WED SEP 01 2004
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.2W AT 01/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
 64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.2W AT 01/1500Z
 AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 110.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.4N 112.9W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.4N 114.8W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.3N 116.5W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.0N 117.7W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.5N 119.5W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N 121.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 24.5N 122.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 111.2W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER PASCH
  
 $$