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 552 
 WTPZ24 KNHC 272038
 TCMEP4
  
 HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
 2100 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 117.1W AT 27/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
 64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT.......105NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 210SW 210NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 117.1W AT 27/2100Z
 AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 116.9W
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.5N 117.7W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...105NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.4N 118.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...105NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.4N 118.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.7N 118.1W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 23.0N 118.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 25.0N 118.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 26.0N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 117.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN
  
  
 
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