850
WTPZ24 KNHC 271432
TCMEP4
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092011
1500 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 116.4W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......105NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 90SE 160SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 116.4W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 116.2W
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.1N 117.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...105NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.9N 117.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...105NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.0N 117.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.2N 117.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 45SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 25.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 27.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 116.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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