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 224 
 WTPZ24 KNHC 270246
 TCMEP4
  
 HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
 0300 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 114.8W AT 27/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
 64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
 50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE 150SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 114.8W AT 27/0300Z
 AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 114.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.8N 115.8W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.2N 116.6W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.9N 116.9W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT...105NE  90SE  80SW 105NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.1N 116.9W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT...105NE  90SE  80SW 105NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.7N 116.9W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 55NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
 34 KT...105NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.0N 117.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 26.5N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 114.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BROWN
  
  
 
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