224
WTPZ24 KNHC 270246
TCMEP4
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092011
0300 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 114.8W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 114.8W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 114.4W
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.8N 115.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.2N 116.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.9N 116.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 80SW 105NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.1N 116.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 80SW 105NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.7N 116.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 26.5N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 114.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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