833 
 WTPZ43 KNHC 212240
 TCDEP3
 HURRICANE HILARY SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 330 PM PDT SUN AUG 21 2005
  
 THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING TRANSMITTED TO ISSUE A TROPICAL STORM
 WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO AND TO EXPAND
 THE INITIAL AND FORECAST WIND RADII.  REPORTS FROM MANZANILLO
 MEXICO WITHIN THE PAST HOUR INDICATE SUSTAINED 35 KT WINDS ARE
 REACHING THE COAST WITHIN AN OUTER BAND OF HURRICANE HILARY... AND
 TWO SHIPS JUST OFFSHORE OF MANZANILLO HAVE REPORTED TROPICAL STORM
 FORCE WINDS WITHIN THE PAST 90 MINUTES.  THE TRACK AND INTENSITY
 FORECASTS ARE UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
  
 FORECASTER KNABB
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      21/2230Z 16.9N 108.2W    75 KT
  12HR VT     22/0600Z 17.4N 109.4W    85 KT
  24HR VT     22/1800Z 18.4N 111.9W    90 KT
  36HR VT     23/0600Z 19.3N 114.2W    90 KT
  48HR VT     23/1800Z 20.0N 115.5W    85 KT
  72HR VT     24/1800Z 21.0N 117.5W    70 KT
  96HR VT     25/1800Z 22.0N 119.5W    50 KT
 120HR VT     26/1800Z 23.5N 122.0W    30 KT
  
  
 $$